Welcome to Patternform – Tired of spending countless hours studying horse races without much success? Patternform makes your life easier. You can complete a detailed race analysis in just 10 minutes. This specialised filtering tool helps you quickly pick horses based on key factors like race distance, track conditions, and going. No more tedious manual reviews.
Patternform’s three powerful card types are the foundations of smart racing analysis. Patternform Cards sort runners by speed ratings. Moneyform Cards show you the in-running trading history and tell you how often horses halve in price during races. On top of that, the Dobbing Overview Cards give you valuable historical data for specialised betting strategies. These strategies work well – just ask Patternform users who’ve found winners at 16/1 and placed horses at 33/1. Let’s look at how you can use Patternform to get similar results consistently.
Understanding the Core Components of Patternform
The secret to becoming skilled at Patternform comes down to its three main parts. Each part gives you a unique way to learn about handicapping races quickly. These powerful tools work together to create a detailed race analysis system.
Patternform Cards: Speed Ratings and Filtering Options
Patternform Cards are the lifeblood of the system. They split into two main parts: the Runner List and the Filters. The Runner List shows all horses in a race on single lines that you can compare easily. Cards sort by speed ratings right away and show only races from the last six months.
Each runner’s line shows fixed details like name, draw, age, and weight. The line also displays data that changes based on your filter picks. You can sort columns by:
- Win% (percentage of wins in current formline)
- Pla% (percentage of places)
- WinVal (three most valuable races won, in thousands)
- Speed (best three speed figures)
- Multi (speed figure multiplied by handicap rating)
- RanTo (traditional form, figure adjusted to today’s weight)
The Filter Section below the Runner List makes this system powerful. You get 16 different filters to use. These control which past races show up in your analysis. Filters cover everything from going conditions and distance to race type, course features, and periods. A user mentioned that “Patternform provides a far quicker solution” than old-school form study methods.
Moneyform Cards: In-Running Price Movement Analysis
Moneyform Cards track how horse odds change during races. They display colored numbers that show the price ranges horses traded at in previous races.
Each horse gets a DOB% score that shows how often it has “dobbed” before. In Patternform speak, a horse “dobs” when its running price drops to 50% or less than its starting price. A horse with “100%” on its Moneyform card means its price has halved during every recorded run.
This data helps you spot horses that might trade at much lower prices than they started with, even if they don’t end up winning. These cards are a great way to get ideas for in-running trading strategies instead of just picking winners.
DOB Overview Cards: Historical Dobbing Percentages
DOB Overview Cards come in both new and old formats. They give you a simple view that focuses on historical dobbing percentages. You’ll see clear stats for each runner showing how often they’ve traded at half their starting price or lower.
This history helps you find horses that run well early or mid-race before they fade. The DOB Overview makes it easy to spot improving horses—recent runs with codes “2” and “1” often point to horses finding their form.
The term “DOB” (Double Or Bust) started on the Patternform site in 2008. Now it’s accessible to more people in racing circles. A successful DOB bet works like an even-money wager—stake £10 to win £10.
These three parts create a reliable system to find value opportunities fast. Instead of spending hours reading traditional form guides, Patternform lets you switch views of a race faster and look at multiple factors at once.
Materials and Methods: Setting Up for 10-Minute Analysis
Patternform’s filtering capabilities are the foundations of efficient race analysis. The right approach can reduce hours of work to just 10 minutes. Let’s walk through a systematic setup process that makes quick analysis possible.
Selecting Race Type and Timeframe for Analysis
Patternform loads with just the “Look back” filter pre-selected at 6 months. This shows races from the last half-year in runners’ formlines. A 24-month timeframe gives better results for big races and offers more informed insights.
Your 10-minute analysis should start with:
- Pick the right race type using the NH/Flat filter (flat, hurdle, chase, or NHFlat)
- Set the “Look back” timeframe based on race quality (longer for higher-grade races, shorter for lower-grade ones)
- The Race Type filter helps focus on specific categories like handicaps, group races, or sellers
Lower-grade races depend more on recent performance, while top-grade contests make year-old performances relevant. This makes timeframe selection your first crucial decision.
Applying Filters: Distance, Going, Class, and Pace
The Filter Section has 16 different filters that shape what you see in the runner list’s variable fields. These four filters stand out for quick analysis:
Distance Filter: The Race Distance filter transforms your view of a 5f sprint. You’ll see only performances at that exact distance in formlines. One expert puts it simply: “Believe me, it can be quite illuminating”.
Going Filter: Official going conditions help spot horses that excel on specific surfaces. Race day conditions need checking—going might turn softer with rain or firmer with sun and wind.
Class Filter: Races worth £20,000-£70,000 need samples, excluding prize money below £7,000. Horses moving up one class have a shot, but two-class jumps rarely work. Class droppers get a big advantage.
Pace Analysis: Pace cards live in the top right corner of Patternform cards. They show running styles and positioning that help identify front-runners who might control the race.
Using Patternform with Betfair Exchange Data
Patternform analysis and Betfair Exchange data create a powerful decision-making combo. Betfair’s Basic Plan offers free basic data at 1-minute intervals. This price movement information adds depth to Patternform’s formline analysis.
Betfair data reveals patterns that match your Patternform findings. This works best when looking at:
- Front-runners’ in-running price patterns spotted through Patternform pace cards
- Market confidence in horses with strong distance-specific ratings
- Price behaviour of class droppers found through Patternform filters
Traditional betting risks often lead to in-running trading chances. But as experts note, profit often comes from “market gaps” where emotional trading creates opportunities.
The market close to race time deserves a final check. Confident stables place big bets late, giving one last confirmation of your Patternform-based picks.
Implementing Patternform Systems for Fast Decision-Making
You can put Patternform systems to work with targeted strategies that deliver results quickly. These three proven approaches will help you make smart, informed decisions before race time once your filters are set up.
Front-Runner Identification via Pace Cards
Front-runners have big advantages in certain race types and courses. The pace card shows running styles and race positioning, which lets you spot horses that take the lead early. This can be one of racing’s most profitable angles.
To analyse potential front-runners:
- Look for evidence of front-running in recent races
- Check if other horses tend to chase or hold back
- See if the course layout works well for front-runners
As one expert notes, “If the front runner is unlikely to have much competition for the lead, then the chances of it winning increase”. Uncontested leaders save energy that they can use at the finish. A horse that sets the pace without pressure usually keeps enough stamina to stay ahead until the end.
Filtering for First-Time Distance Runners
First-time distance runners often give you great betting chances. Patternform helps find these runners with its filters.
The process starts with clearing all filters. The distance filter then shows which horses haven’t run at today’s race distance yet. This reveals opportunities other bettors miss because checking each runner’s distance history takes too long.
You should assess the pedigree and recent runs of first-time distance runners carefully. The distance filter instantly shows whether they’re moving up or down in distance.
Combining Weight and Class Filters for Handicap Races
Weight and class filters work together powerfully for handicap races. Start fresh by clearing filters, then:
The class filter highlights horses dropping in grade. Note that “horses moving down class have a big advantage“. The weight filter finds horses with good weights compared to their winning runs.
The key is finding horses that ran well in better races while carrying similar weights to today. Odds-makers often miss these value picks.
These three strategies help you spot advantages that regular form study might miss. A focused 10-minute analysis using these specific Patternform approaches can yield betting insights comparable to hours of traditional handicapping.
Results and Discussion: Evaluating Patternform Efficiency
Patternform analysis delivers substantial real-world benefits to punters who value their time. Users can measure the system’s results through several performance indicators.
Time Saved vs Manual Form Study
The system cuts down analysis time compared to old-school methods. Expert users report tasks that once took hours can now be completed in minutes with Patternform’s filters. The system’s quick multi-criteria sorting helps users spot selections in 10-15 minutes instead of spending half a day with conventional form books.
Quick data filtering eliminates the need to check each runner one by one. This proves especially valuable with all-weather racing, where pattern-based betting has yielded an ROI of 12% overall and 18% at Lingfield.
Accuracy of In-Running Price Predictions
Moneyform cards excel at predicting how prices move during races. These cards help users spot horses that will likely trade at much shorter prices mid-race, even if they don’t win.
The system’s predictive strength becomes clear when pre-race forecasts are matched against actual Betfair exchange data. A Musselburgh sprint analysis showed all but one of these horses (5 of 10) dobbed as their historical patterns suggested. This method stands apart from regular handicapping by targeting price movement rather than just winners.
Success Rate of Dobbing Strategies
Long-term profitable dobbing strategies need about a 54% success rate after the exchange commission. The average dobbing rate sits around 40% across multiple samples. Patternform strategies must provide a clear edge to turn a profit.
Top patternform users have achieved:
- 60% success rates over samples of 9,000+ selections
- Profits that stay steady through seasonal changes
- Reliable identification of front-runners trading at half their opening price
The system might not nail every prediction, but its speed in finding valuable betting opportunities makes it worth using. Expert traders point out that success comes from finding horses whose odds drop sharply during races—opportunities that standard form analysis often misses.
Limitations and Considerations in Patternform Racing
Patternform gives you powerful analysis tools, but knowing its limits is vital to make smart betting decisions. You can avoid costly mistakes in your patternform strategies by understanding what it can and cannot do.
Data Gaps in Low-Run Horses
Horses running their first race and those coming back after long breaks create major challenges for patternform systems. These systems work much less well when there’s no recent form to analyse. Your predictions mainly depend on how trainers handle their horses – some trainers just want to give their horses a run after long breaks, while others make sure they’re ready to win first time out.
Key things to look at for horses with limited data:
- Travel distance tells you a lot – horses going over 100 miles alone or with lower-grade companions usually mean business
- Race grade makes a big difference – in expensive races or classics, long-term stats matter more because quality horses often perform well even after long breaks
- Weight changes should balance out improvement, but you should use them to rule out risky bets
Overfitting Filters to Small Sample Sizes
Using too many filters at once is another big limitation with PatternForm. The more filters you add, the smaller your sample gets, which can create patterns that look good but won’t last.
Studies in other pattern-recognition fields show that overfitting keeps coming up when data is limited. Some researchers say they “have not encountered ‘overfitting’ due to the fact that parameters are stable enough”, but this sunny outlook rarely works in horse racing, which is unpredictable by nature.
Here’s how to avoid overfitting risks with PatternForm:
- Stay away from super-specific filter combinations that only find a few races
- Don’t trust patterns from small samples (fewer than 10 races)
- Keep in mind that even with Patternform’s deep analysis, racing remains “incredibly variable with many factors that decide whether a horse wins”
The smart way to use PatternForm balances its strong filtering tools against these built-in limits. One experienced user puts it well: “there is no magic system”, whatever fancy patternform analysis you do.
Patternform – My Conclusion
Patternform stands as the most important upgrade from traditional form study methods. This piece shows how this specialised system turns hours of manual analysis into optimised 10-minute work. Traditional handicapping takes countless hours to review individual horses, but Patternform lets you quickly filter everything in distance, going, class, and pace.
The system works through three powerful components. Patternform Cards are the foundations of speed ratings and flexible filtering options. Moneyform Cards show valuable in-running price movement patterns. DOB Overview Cards display historical dobbing percentages for specialised betting strategies. These components work together to create a complete framework that helps identify value opportunities quickly.
The system excels with specific strategies like front-runner identification, first-time distance runner analysis, and weight-class combinations for handicap races. Users report success rates above the 54% threshold needed for long-term profit. This becomes even more evident, especially when you have all-weather racing, where pattern-based betting has shown impressive ROI figures.
All the same, some limitations exist. Horses with few runs create data gaps that challenge analysis. There’s also a risk of overfitting when too many filters run at once. It also faces the reality that horse racing’s unpredictable nature means no system wins every time.
Evidence shows that Patternform gives tremendous advantages to time-conscious punters. You can now make evidence-based decisions in minutes instead of spending hours on manual reviews. Without doubt, this quick approach gives you an edge, especially when you have Betfair Exchange data for in-running trading strategies. While no racing system achieves perfection, Patternform’s quick value spotting capabilities are a great way to get consistent results for serious horse racing enthusiasts.
Patternform FAQs
Q1. What is Patternform, and how does it help in horse race analysis? Patternform is a specialised filtering tool that allows for comprehensive race analysis in just 10 minutes. It uses three main components: Patternform Cards for speed ratings and filtering, Moneyform Cards for in-running price movement analysis, and DOB Overview Cards for historical dobbing percentages.
Q2. How can I set up Patternform for quick race analysis? To set up Patternform for efficient analysis, start by selecting the appropriate race type and timeframe. Then apply key filters such as distance, going, class, and pace. Combine this with Betfair Exchange data for a powerful decision-making framework.
Q3. What are some effective strategies for using Patternform? Some effective strategies include identifying front-runners using pace cards, filtering for first-time distance runners, and combining weight and class filters for handicap races. These approaches can quickly reveal valuable betting opportunities.
Q4. How accurate are Patternform’s predictions for in-running price movements? Patternform’s Moneyform cards have shown remarkable accuracy in predicting in-running price movements. They effectively identify horses likely to trade at significantly shorter prices during races, even if they don’t ultimately win.
Q5. What are the limitations of using Patternform? Patternform has limitations when analysing horses with few runs due to data gaps. There’s also a risk of overfitting when applying too many filters to small sample sizes. It’s important to balance Patternform’s capabilities with these inherent limitations and remember that horse racing remains inherently unpredictable.
