Picking winners on the all-weather, as with all races, involves a combination of research and a good understanding of the factors that can influence a horse’s performance. They say that it’s ‘horses for courses’, and this is particularly true of all-weather tracks.
Here are just some strategies and tips to help you make more informed selections on your all-weather selections.
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Track Familiarity
Horses that have performed well on the specific all-weather track in the past may have an advantage. Look for horses with a good track record on the surface. Each all-weather track has its own type of surface, whether it be tapeta, polytrack, or fibresand. Horses may be suited by one surface more than another.
Recent Form
Consider a horse’s recent performances. Look for horses that have shown consistent form and have performed well in their recent races. When it comes to horse racing online betting, choosing a horse that is fit and healthy is always a good starting point.
Trainer and Jockey Statistics
Research the success rates of trainers and jockeys on all-weather surfaces. Some trainers specialise in preparing horses for synthetic tracks, and certain jockeys may have a better understanding of riding on such surfaces. Britain’s all-weather tracks can be a tricky experience for some, so it pays to follow those jockeys that have had success at the track in the past.
Pedigree Analysis
Some horses are better suited for specific surfaces based on their breeding. Analysing a horse’s pedigree can provide insights into its potential performance on all-weather tracks. As with a race’s trip, looking into a horse’s pedigree will give you an idea of how a horse may perform over course and distance.
Speed and Pace Analysis
Analyse the pace of the race and how it might suit the running style of each horse. Some horses prefer to run at the front, while others are closers. Assess how the race is likely to unfold based on the pace. If there are many front-running horses, for example, it might be wise to select a runner who likes to stay on late.
Weather Conditions
While all-weather tracks are designed to be consistent in various weather conditions, it’s still important to consider any recent weather changes that might affect track conditions. So-called, ‘kick back’, where the surface can be thrown up into horses’ faces can affect their performance.
Class and Handicap Ratings
One of the most important parts of choosing a horse is to evaluate the class of the race and the handicap ratings of the runners. Some horses may be dropping in class or carrying a lighter weight, which can impact their chances.
Betting Market
Monitor the betting market for any significant movements. Sudden shifts in odds may indicate insider knowledge or a change in the perceived chances of a horse. All-weather racing has become known as a chance for connections to have a wager on their horses, so keeping an eye on the market moves can be very informative.
Remember, there is no foolproof method for predicting horse race outcomes, and racing involves an element of chance. It’s essential to combine your analysis with an understanding of the uncertainties in horse racing.
Images By “Poly Track Spray” (CC BY 2.0) by Paul Kehrer
